Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.010518 0.012711 0.015459 0.019239 0.024445 0.031588 0.042575
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.008226 0.010856 0.014620 0.020709 0.031010 0.049374 0.089807
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.006731 0.009350 0.013410 0.020706 0.034990 0.066382 0.163944
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005712 0.008223 0.012345 0.020358 0.037987 0.084613 0.293549
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004819 0.007092 0.010960 0.018872 0.037725 0.094911 0.448917
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004215 0.006324 0.010027 0.017961 0.038340 0.109322 0.758722
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003835 0.005870 0.009565 0.017888 0.041152 0.137015 1.749366
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003586 0.005605 0.009402 0.018427 0.046182 0.187105 7.672887
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003333 0.005294 0.009086 0.018502 0.049896 0.243685 102.132334
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003044 0.004883 0.008499 0.017725 0.050118 0.279192 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002831 0.004591 0.008117 0.017394 0.051993 0.342421 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002736 0.004514 0.008183 0.018328 0.060219 0.547698 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002644 0.004453 0.008326 0.019731 0.073716 1.154241 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002555 0.004391 0.008468 0.021266 0.091644 3.300389 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002399 0.004170 0.008183 0.021264 0.100210 7.617946 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002245 0.003936 0.007831 0.020902 0.106013 19.244677 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002058 0.003616 0.007213 0.019361 0.099762 22.978993 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001915 0.003377 0.006779 0.018417 0.098247 42.253811 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001821 0.003237 0.006580 0.018342 0.105468 519.277917 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001759 0.003162 0.006540 0.018900 0.121424 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001686 0.003053 0.006396 0.018978 0.132840 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001589 0.002886 0.006071 0.018174 0.131013 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001515 0.002765 0.005860 0.017831 0.135847 NaN NaN